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I've read a fair amount about this as it pertains to basketball. Slate has run two pieces about it in the last couple of years.
http://www.slate.com/id/2255932
http://www.slate.com/id/2217721/

I think clutch play is really about two factors: not caving under pressure, and trying extra hard at "important" times. The first factor is unambiguously good. The second is debatable.

Thanks for the links!

One thing that may be going on here - baseball closers are disproportionately power pitchers. Take Pedro Cerrano from the 'Major League' movies, who destroyed fastballs but was helpless against a good curveball. He'd clean up on this metric. I should check how Mark Belanger scores (he used to destroy Nolan Ryan and hit .200 against everyone else) But guys who were better against curveball type pitchers would score poorly.

Mike Schmidt is on the anti-clutch list and he used to absolutely own Bert Blyleven, so maybe there's something to that.

The Nikkei Futures: Saturation Macroeconomic's x/2.5x/2x Skeletal
Structure on a Day Unit Basis: Confirmation of a Patterned
Macroeconomic Science. [

Jul 24, 2010 8:13 AM
The Nikkei Futures: Saturation Macroeconomic's Empirical x/2.5x/2x
Growth Skeletal Structure With Ideal Elegant Evolution in a Day Unit
Three Phase Fractal Series

Confirmation of a Patterned Macroeconomic Science.


The Wilshire's 11 October 2007 nominal high was prospectively
predicted by the new science of nonstochastic saturation
macroeconomics.

Nikkei Futures: x/2.5x/2x :: 8/20/15 of 16 days with possible
extension to 2x-2.5x of the third fractal

In the main page of The Economic Fractalist
www.economicfractalist.com/ the Macroeconomy's underlying Growth and
Decay fractal pattern is defined.

"The ideal growth fractal time sequence is X, 2.5X, 2X and 1.5-1.6X.
The first two cycles include a saturation transitional point and decay
process in the terminal portion of the cycles. A sudden nonlinear drop
in the last 0.5x time period of the 2.5X is the hallmark of a second
cycle and characterizes this most recognizable cycle. After the
nonlinear gap drop, the third cycle begins. This means that the second
cycle can last anywhere in length from 2x to 2.5x. The third cycle 2X
is primarily a growth cycle with a lower saturation point and decay
process followed by a higher saturation point. The last 1.5-1.6X cycle
is primarily a decay cycle interrupted with a mid area growth period.
Near ideal fractal cycles can be seen in the trading valuations of
many commodities and individual stocks. Most of the cycles are
caricatures of the ideal and conform to Gompertz mathematical type
saturation and decay curves. "

Observe the Daily Nikkei Future's patterns which is a trading day
behind the Euro-US equity valuation market.

8/20/15 of 16 days with a nonlinear drop between day 16 and 17 of the
second fractal - exactly defining the nature of a second fractal.

The15 day third fractal of the 8/20/15 of 15-17 day is composed of a
3/8/6 of 6-8 day x/2.5x/2-2.5x fractal with a nonlinear drop between
day 7 and 8 in the 2-2.5x time frame of the third 15 day fractal's 8
day second subfractal (3/8/6 days) sequence.

Huh?

Or more to the point: Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam, Spam.

"Clutch" is a useless concept. Good batters are successful one time in three so all sorts of strange correlations arise.

The best clutch hitter in the National League in the last few years has been Andre Ethier - who is very good but not one of the greats. Why has he so many walk-off hits? He bats before Manny Ramirez. Walking Ethier is dreadful in a game-on-the line situation because it doesn't get an out and it brings up one of the best hitters _ever_ with at least one runner on base. As a result Ethier gets thrown strikes. And he is very good so he hits alot of them.

... but there us such a thing as situational hitting. With runner on third, one out and a tie game in the eighth inning, a deep fly ball caught on the warning track is great hitting.

Similarly, it was Luis Gonzalez of the D-backs against the Yankees who won a world series by choking up on the bat with a runner on third and two outs. He barely hit the ball hard enough to get it out of the infield. It scored a run. No way was he going to hit a Rivera fastball on a full swing.


,

The neat thing about baseball is that the sphere of contention is controlled by the defence, unlike hockey, football, soccer, etc., therefore clutch pitching inhibits clutch hitting. The topic is at the wrong end of the 60'-6" dimension. All base hits are results of mistakes by the pitcher, batters and throwers know this and pitchers usually make more mistake to-wards the latter inning as they tire....and when most hits considered "clutch", occur.

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