« The Canadian business cycle mesa of 2008 | Main | That can't be right... »


Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Are you sure this isn't the "Canada is lagging the U.S. by roughly 24 months - Auto Sales Edition?"

No, I'm not at all sure of that. But then again, a 24-month lag would be unusual as well - it's usually something like 6 months. As it is, it's been almost a year since the US went into recession, and Canada is still generating numbers like this. It's a puzzle.

Car sales also fell in four European countries reporting yesterday: 40% in Spain, 19% in Italy, and 7% in France and Belgium. http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/feedarticle/7981178

It is impressive how well the Canadian economy is holding up so far, but I don't see it lasting. Canadian home prices seem to have peaked earlier this year, about 18 months later than the US peak. My guess is that Canadian construction spending will now begin falling rapidly as a (slightly delayed) consequence, just as in the US. Then there's falling oil and other commodity prices, which peaked in June. Falling demand for our manufacturing exports will be the final straw, only partly offset by the lower exchange rate.

My prediction, for what it's worth, is that Canadian output and employment figures have peaked and will be declining from now on.

Incentives offered as a result of the strong Canadian dollar will likely also dry up, hurting sales.

Don't you think that a lot of this could be do to the fact that a lot less people are buying cars across the border?

Hi Stephen,

I'm emailing you in regards to a followup email I sent you a month ago in response to a partnership, have you had a chance to think about it?

If you have any questions or would more information, please advise me and we can go from there.

Kind Regards,
Andrew Knight

I believe that one of the reasons of the decrease in car sales may be attributed to the fact that oil price kept on increasing on the last few months. And buyers are now opting to buy smaller, cheaper and fuel efficient cars.

The comments to this entry are closed.

Search this site

  • Google

Blog powered by Typepad