Dan Gardner of the Ottawa Citizen is one of my very favourite journalists. I first came across his work during the 2008 election campaign, in which he distinguished himself by writing what turned out to be the only article on carbon taxes that made no reference to Stéphane Dion's accent. His piece was a beacon of intellectual curiosity in what was otherwise a very bleak media landscape, for which I was almost pathetically grateful.
Happily, he has also found time to write books. His first book, Risk, dealt with the psychology of how we handle uncertainty, and is well worth tracking down, buying and reading. His most recent book, Future Babble, notes that one of the ways we deal with uncertainty is to rely on the predictions of experts. Unfortunately, experts aren't very good at forecasting, but no-one seems to notice or care. Many of the examples Dan uses are, inevitably, from economics, so this is a good book for economists to read and to take seriously.
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